Two Medium (Alert)                Exercise increased caution

Preparedness strategy involves defining threat levels based on the growing seriousness of the situation starting with threat level one.

Each ascending threat level represents an escalation in the situation. The Strategy should entail a phased evacuation starting with dependants and ending with essential staff based upon the level of threat.

Normally the situation is expected to graduate in sequence through the threat levels but it may be that the situation escalates quickly to a higher level. If this occurs you should carry out the specific duties for the appropriate threat level and for all lower threat levels.

Triggers Points/Tripwires/Red Flags

Establishing escalation indicators or ‘Tripwires’ is an important step in understanding the changes that are occurring which may precipitate an evacuation. Your own organisation/Personal risk appetite/tolerance will drive these indicators. According to our experience SafeExpat, has been set but not limited on the follow indicators:

  • Large scale movement of disgruntled and disaffected people into urban areas
  • Increased vulnerability of residential areas
  • Travel between difficult and hazardous
  • Power cuts
  • Food and water shortage
  • Power disruptions lasting for extended period
  • Basic foodstuff scare
  • Business disrupted/nationalist protest, local and/or expat staff suffer from intimidation
  • Minorities (westerns) targeted on an increasing scale incident becoming widespread and commonplace
  • Increase in bomb threats/security incident
  • Increased intensity of state sponsored demonstration
  • Isolated incidents of local unrest
  • Unauthorised demonstration take place challenging authority
  • Government warning on TV e radio restricting movement
  • Advice from relevant embassy to evacuate dependants